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Aaron Jones Over 17.5 Carries
The bet: Over 17.5 carries
You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 8.5.
Cleared 17.5 in 3 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 15.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 17.5 carries | 25 carries | −106 | hit |
| Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET | Miami Dolphins | Over 17.5 carries | 20 carries | +103 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 12
- 23
- 17
- 20
- 25
- 8
- 5
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
15.7vs 17.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Aaron Jones carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 17.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 5 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 8 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 12 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Carries per game
- 15.7
Season · 7 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
55.3%
2026 regular season7 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
22.0carries allowed/game to RBs
T-12th fewest (L4: T-8th fewest)7 games
BUF · CARRIES FACED
25per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
News and availability
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 17.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 17.5 carries?
Aaron Jones hit over 17.5 carries in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.