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Caleb Williams Over 4.5 Carries
The bet: Over 4.5 carries
Cleared 4.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 2L5 average 5.2
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 4.5 carries | 2 carries | −115 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Nov 2
- 10
- 5
- 4
- 5
- 2
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
5.2vs 4.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Caleb Williams carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 10 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Team comparison
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
22.2
Points / game
18.9
Allowed / game
Chicago Bears
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
26.8
Points / game
20
Allowed / game
Market movement
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 4.5 carries?
Caleb Williams hit over 4.5 carries in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.