Beau Stephens
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop CHI Settled: Miss
Caleb Williams Over 4.5 Carries vs. Seahawks
The bet: Over 4.5 carries
CHI@SEA Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 4.5 in 3 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 22L4 average 6.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 carries lost.
Final: 2.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 22
- 10
- 5
- 4
- 5
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
6.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Caleb Williams carries over the last 4 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 10 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Chicago Bears
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
26.8
Points / game
20
Allowed / game
Seattle Seahawks
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
23.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−118
Current
−127
Change
−9
Best available moved from −118 to −127. That pays $6.01 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Bears Elevate TE Stephen Carlson From Practice Squad for Seahawks Game (opens in a new tab)
Bears Elevate TE Stephen Carlson From Practice Squad for Seahawks Game
The move adds depth at a position that has been thin since the Bears placed Cole Kmet on injured reserve with a season-ending knee injury.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Brandon Pili
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Chicago Bears
Case Keenum
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Coby Bryant
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 4.5 carries?
Caleb Williams hit over 4.5 carries in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Caleb Williams Over 4.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.