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Chase Brown Under 16.5 Carries
The bet: Under 16.5 carries
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 14.5.
Stayed under 16.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 13.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Miami Dolphins | Under 16.5 carries | 13 carries | −107 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 16
- 20
- 13
- 9
- 13
- 11
- 12
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
13.4vs 16.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Chase Brown carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsTEN | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 25 | @BAL | Hit | 11 |
| Oct 11 | @MIA | Hit | 13 |
| Oct 4 | vsJAX | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 27 | @PIT | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 20 | @HOU | Miss | 20 |
| Sep 13 | vsTB | Hit | 16 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Chase Brown
- Carries per game
- 13.4
Season · 7 games
Chase Brown
BROWN · TEAM CARRY SHARE
61.4%
2026 regular season7 games
Atlanta Falcons
ATL allows
23.9carries allowed/game to RBs
11th most (L4: 1st most)8 games
ATL · CARRIES FACED
33.2per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries?
Chase Brown hit under 16.5 carries in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 9:30 AM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.