Aaron Banks
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop GB Settled: Hit
MarShawn Lloyd Under 11.5 Carries vs. Cowboys
The bet: Under 11.5 carries
DAL@GB Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 11.5 carries won.
Final: 8.
Hit rate vs the line
4of5
(80%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
- 13
- 6
- 4
- 7
- 10
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
8.0vs 11.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
MarShawn Lloyd carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 11.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 11.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Miss | 13 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Dallas Cowboys
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
27
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
Green Bay Packers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 11.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−105
Change
+25
Best available moved from −130 to −105. That pays $18.32 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Packers HC Opens Up About Micah Parsons Injury Status (opens in a new tab)
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur confirmed that edge rusher Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night against the Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur confirmed that edge rusher Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night against the Dallas Cowboys
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Green Bay Packers
Benjamin St-Juste
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Dallas Cowboys
Alijah Clark
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Camden Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about MarShawn Lloyd Under 11.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for MarShawn Lloyd Under 11.5 carries?
MarShawn Lloyd hit under 11.5 carries in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
What is the closing price for MarShawn Lloyd Under 11.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.