Kerby Joseph
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop GB Settled: Hit
MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 Rushing Yards vs. Lions
The bet: Over 9.5 rushing yards
GB@DET Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 9.5 rushing yards won.
Final: 20.
Hit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 37
- 20
- 11
- 13
- 31
- 10
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
20.3vs 9.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
MarShawn Lloyd rushing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 9.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 9.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsDAL | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 31 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 37 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Green Bay Packers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.7
Allowed / game
Detroit Lions
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
30.7
Points / game
27.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 9.5 rushing yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−280
Current
−115
Change
+165
Best available moved from −280 to −115. That pays $51.25 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Detroit, MI · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 67°F0% precipitationGusts 10 mph
Game-day inactives
Detroit Lions
Mekhi Wingo
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Seth McLaughlin
C · Coach's Decision ·
Jackson Meeks
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Ahmed Hassanein
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Bishop Fitzgerald
S · Coach's Decision ·
Green Bay Packers
Kaleb Johnson
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Benjamin St-Juste
CB · Hamstring ·
Kevin Zeitler
G · Coach's Decision ·
Zaire Franklin
LB · Shin ·
Donovan Jennings
G · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DET -3.5
- Game total
- 55.5
- Detroit Lions
- −192
- Green Bay Packers
- +160
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Detroit Lions
- 59%
- Green Bay Packers
- 41%
Detroit Lions by 2.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Packers’ wide receiver room remains thin for Lions showdown despite plenty of encouraging news (opens in a new tab)
Packers’ wide receiver room remains thin for Lions showdown despite plenty of encouraging news
Jordan Love also dealt with a back issue during practice.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
Jager Burton
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Luke Musgrave
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 rushing yards?
MarShawn Lloyd hit over 9.5 rushing yards in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 rushing yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.