Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop JAX Pending
Today's check
Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 Carries
The bet: Under 4.5 carries
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 3.5.
JAX@BAL Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 2.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Indianapolis Colts | Under 4.5 carries | 3 carries | — | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 2
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 3
- 3
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.9vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Trevor Lawrence carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsIND | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 18 | vsHOU(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 11 | vsPHI(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @CIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsNE | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @DEN | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsCLE | Hit | 2 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Trevor Lawrence
- Carries per game
- 2.9
Season · 7 games
Baltimore Ravens
BAL allows
21.9carries allowed/game to RBs
11th fewest (L4: T-15th fewest)8 games
BAL · CARRIES FACED
28.4per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
JAX 4, BAL 4
Market movement
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Jacoby Brissett trade: Ravens strike deal for Cardinals QB amid injury crisis (opens in a new tab)
The Ravens have agreed to trade for Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett after injuries devastated Baltimore's quarterback room.
cbssports.com · · Availability report
- Ravens quarterback out for season after tests reveal extent of injury (opens in a new tab)
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Tyler “Snoop” Huntley suffered a season-ending turf toe injury against the Buffalo Bills.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Baltimore Ravens
Jaylinn Hawkins
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DaVon Hamilton
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Eric Murray
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 carries?
Trevor Lawrence hit under 4.5 carries in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.