Antonio Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop JAX Settled: Hit
Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 Carries vs. Colts
The bet: Under 4.5 carries
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 3.5.
IND@JAX Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 6 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 18L6 average 2.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 4.5 carries won.
Final: 3.
Hit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 2
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 3
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
2.8vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Trevor Lawrence carries over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsHOU(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 11 | vsPHI(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @CIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsNE | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @DEN | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsCLE | Hit | 2 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Indianapolis Colts
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
22
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
Jacksonville Jaguars
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
25.7
Points / game
17.3
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Not enough recorded updates to chart price history.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- EverBank Stadium
- Jacksonville, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 79°F61% precipitationGusts 24 mph
Game-day inactives
Jacksonville Jaguars
CJ Williams
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Wesley Williams
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Albert Regis
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jamal Hill
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Alijah Huzzie
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Indianapolis Colts
Bryce Boettcher
LB · Groin ·
Justin Walley
CB · Knee ·
Kevin Givens
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Anthony Gould
WR · Concussion ·
Charlie Heck
OT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- JAX -10
- Game total
- 45.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- −485
- Indianapolis Colts
- +370
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- 73%
- Indianapolis Colts
- 26%
Jacksonville Jaguars by 6.4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Indianapolis Colts Acquire Former 49ers Defender on Friday (opens in a new tab)
The Indianapolis Colts added defensive tackle Kevin Givens to their active roster on Friday, elevating the veteran from the San Francisco 49ers’ practice squa...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
Cam Taylor-Britt
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Trevor Lawrence Under 4.5 carries?
Trevor Lawrence hit under 4.5 carries in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.