Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SEA Pending
Today's check
The bet: Under 4.5 rushing yards
Price as of Oct 25, 4:32 AM ET −113 at FanDuel · Updating prices...
Opened −110 at BetMGM, last seen −113
1 of 5 decided (20%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Sam Darnold averaged 7 rushing yards across 5 stored games, above the 4.5 line. He had 1.4 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Kansas City Chiefs allowed 63.8 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 5 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Under 4.5 rushing yards | 19 rushing yards | −107 | miss |
1of5
(20%)
Sep 9 – Oct 15
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
7.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 5 games
Sam Darnold rushing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Miss | 19 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Miss | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 6 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 0 |
Price as of Oct 25, 4:32 AM ET: FanDuel −113
Prices as of Oct 25, 4:32 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
DARNOLD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
5.6%
2026 regular season5 games
KC · RUSHING YARDS
88.8yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Rest
+3days rest, SEA
SEA 10, KC 7
Open
−110
Current
−113
Change
−3
Best available moved from −110 to −113. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Research refreshed
opening Anthony Bradford’s 21-day practice window on Monday.
Anthony Bradford's return gives Seahawks hope of fixing struggling offensive line
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drake Thomas
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Brashard Smith
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylon Moore
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Sam Darnold hit under 4.5 rushing yards in 1 of his last 5 tracked games (20%). Last seen is −113 at FanDuel.
Sam Darnold hit under 4.5 rushing yards in 1 of 5 games across the last 5 games (20% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.