Brett Thorson
out
Reported context: Roster availability is affected; the replacement role is not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Miss
Aaron Jones Anytime TD vs. Dolphins
The bet: Anytime TD
MIA@MIN Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 0.5 in 1 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 13 to Sep 27L3 average 0.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Anytime TD lost.
Final: No.
Hit rate vs the line
1of3
(33%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 1
- 0
- 0
Anytime TD per game, oldest to newest
Game results
Aaron Jones · last 3 games · Anytime TD.
Touchdown results
Sep 13
vs GB
TD
Hit
Sep 20
@ CHI
No TD
Miss
Sep 27
@ TB
No TD
Miss
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 1 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Miami Dolphins
2026 season · 7 games
1–6
Record
16.7
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Minnesota Vikings
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
20
Points / game
13.3
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Anytime TD
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−130
Change
0
Best available moved from −130 to −130. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Charles Demmings
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Miami Dolphins
Brady Cook
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Caleb Douglas
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones anytime TD at −130?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones anytime TD?
Aaron Jones scored a touchdown in 1 of 3 tracked games across the last 3 games.
What is the closing price for Aaron Jones anytime TD?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.