Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SEA Pending
Today's check
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
Price as of Oct 25, 11:01 AM ET −154 at FanDuel · Updating prices...
Opened −172 at FanDuel, last seen −154
3 of 5 decided (60%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 5 tracked games (60%).
Showing saved research.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Under 1.5 passing tds | 0 passing tds | −146 | hit |
3of5
(60%)
Sep 9 – Oct 15
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.4vs 1.5 line
Based on 5 games
Sam Darnold passing tds over the last 5 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 0 |
Price as of Oct 25, 11:01 AM ET: FanDuel −154
Prices as of Oct 25, 11:01 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +115
Over +125
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
DARNOLD · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
18per game
2026 regular season5 games
KC PASS RUSH
1.6sacks allowed/game
Last 5 games
Rest
+3days rest, SEA
SEA 10, KC 7
Open
−172
Current
−154
Change
+18
Best available moved from −172 to −154. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Research refreshed
opening Anthony Bradford’s 21-day practice window on Monday.
Anthony Bradford's return gives Seahawks hope of fixing struggling offensive line
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drake Thomas
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Brashard Smith
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylon Moore
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 5 tracked games (60%). Last seen is −154 at FanDuel.
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.