Dallen Bentley
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Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Sam Darnold Under 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Broncos
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
SEA@DEN Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET
Odds and past results
Price as of Oct 15, 8:10 PM ET −152 at DraftKings
Opened −158 at FanDuel, closed −152
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
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Settled: Under 1.5 passing tds won.
Final: 0.
Closing price −152 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Sam Darnold Under 1.5 passing tds at this number?
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%). Last seen is −152 at DraftKings.
What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Under 1.5 passing tds?
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Sam Darnold Under 1.5 passing tds?
−152 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Sam Darnold Under 1.5 passing tds.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.