Aaron Jones Sr.
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
NFL player prop MIN Final · result not graded yet
The bet: Over 9.5 receiving yards
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 14.5.
Price as of Oct 25, 8:16 AM ET −210 at FanDuel
Opened −235 at Caesars, closed −210
2 of 5 decided (40%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Aaron Jones averaged 14.4 receiving yards across 5 stored games, above the 9.5 line. He had 3.6 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
The opponent: Indianapolis Colts allowed 45.2 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Closing price −210 at FanDuel. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 9.5 receiving yards | 4 receiving yards | −300 | miss |
2of5
(40%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
14.4vs 9.5 line
Based on 5 games
Aaron Jones receiving yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 9.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 0 |
Closing price: FanDuel −210 · 25¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Oct 25, 8:16 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
JONES · TEAM TARGET SHARE
14%of team targets
2026 regular season5 games
JONES · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
2.4rec/game
2026 regular season5 games
Rest
+7days rest, MIN
MIN 14, IND 7
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−235
Current
−210
Change
+25
Best available moved from −235 to −210. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Pregame research captured
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Minnesota Vikings by 4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Vikings Initial Injury Report vs. Colts: Kevin O’Connell’s squad is getting healthier, and it’s a crucial week
The Minnesota Vikings are officially coming off of their bye week, with a battered Indianapolis Colts team coming to town.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Aaron Jones Sr.
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Brian O'Neill
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Anthony Gould
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Jones hit over 9.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 5 tracked games (40%). Last seen is −210 at FanDuel.
Aaron Jones hit over 9.5 receiving yards in 2 of 5 games across the last 5 games (40% hit rate).
−210 at FanDuel was the recorded closing price for Aaron Jones Over 9.5 receiving yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.