Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SF Settled: Hit
The bet: Under 4.5 receptions
Price as of Oct 11, 4:20 PM ET +108 at DraftKings
Opened −106 at FanDuel, closed +108
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Christian McCaffrey averaged 4.6 catches across 5 stored games, above the 4.5 line. He had 5.4 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price +108 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
4.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 4 games
Christian McCaffrey receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Miss | 5 |
Closing price: DraftKings +108
Prices as of Oct 11, 4:20 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −127
Over −140
Over −150
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−106
Current
+108
Change
+14
Best available moved from −106 to +108. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Irv Charles
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Enrique Cruz Jr.
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
James Thompson Jr.
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 4.5 receptions in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is +108 at DraftKings.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 4.5 receptions in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
+108 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Christian McCaffrey Under 4.5 receptions.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.