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NFL player prop SEA Settled: Miss

Sam Darnold Under 223.5 Passing Yards vs. Broncos

The bet: Under 223.5 passing yards

You checked 223.5, an alternate line. Most books: 224.5.

SEA@DEN Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET

Showing saved research.

Settled: Under 223.5 passing yards lost.

Final: 278.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

3of4

(75%)

Sep 9 – Oct 11

  1. 13
  2. 379
  3. 168
  4. 195

Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest

L4 average

188.8vs 223.5 line

Based on 4 games

Game results

Sam Darnold passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 223.5.

Results versus the line

L4
HitMissLine 223.5
Game log · L4, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing Yards
Oct 11vsSF
Hit
195
Oct 4vsLAC
Hit
168
Sep 27@WAS
Miss
379
Sep 9vsNE
Hit
13

What the data showed before the game

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.

Team comparison

Seattle Seahawks

Your selection

2026 season · 7 games

4–3

Record

24

Points / game

17.9

Allowed / game

Denver Broncos

2026 season · 7 games

5–2

Record

20.6

Points / game

20.1

Allowed / game

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

Pregame research captured

Matchup reports

No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Denver Broncos

Dallen Bentley

out

Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Jordan Jackson

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Seattle Seahawks

Brandon Pili

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Sam Darnold Under 223.5 passing yards at this number?

Sam Darnold hit under 223.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is −111 at DraftKings.

What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Under 223.5 passing yards?

Sam Darnold hit under 223.5 passing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).

What is the closing price for Sam Darnold Under 223.5 passing yards?

−111 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Sam Darnold Under 223.5 passing yards.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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