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Bo Nix Over 4.5 Carries
The bet: Over 4.5 carries
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 4.5 carries | 4 carries | +124 | miss |
| Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | Over 4.5 carries | 4 carries | +128 | miss |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | San Francisco 49ers | Over 4.5 carries | 2 carries | +104 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
2of7
(29%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 3
- 5
- 4
- 2
- 4
- 4
- 7
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.1vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Bo Nix carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @ARI | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Miss | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Team comparison
Kansas City Chiefs
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
23.8
Points / game
17.2
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
Market movement
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Bo Nix Over 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Bo Nix Over 4.5 carries?
Bo Nix hit over 4.5 carries in 2 of 7 games across the last 7 games (29% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.